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Geógrafa pela Unicamp (2014), incluindo um ano de intercâmbio universitário na Universidade de Wisconsin (EUA). Possui experiência na área de geotecnologias, GIS e planejamento urbano, tendo realizado estágios na Agemcamp, American Red Cross e - atualmente - no Grupo de Apoio ao Plano Diretor da Unicamp.

Sunday, April 28, 2013

Suitability and Risk Modeling for Sand Mining in Trempealeau County - Raster Analysis

Introduction


Trempealeau County is located in Western Wisconsin (Figure 1), being focus for many sand mining companies to establish their business in. From the western Wisconsin counties, Trempealeau has one of the more detailed and accurate geodatabase, regarding not only the mines but many other features.
For that reason, this will be the area of interest for this project, which intends to use raster advanced tools to create a suitability model for sand mining – where the county areas will be defined with different levels of being appropriate for this specific activity. Considering the risks associated with sand mining, the same analysis will be made regarding where the impact is higher or lower.

The analysis will be done by the use of the Arc GIS software and it will have a modeling approach with the use of Model Builder – in a way that the tools can be easily changed and adapted for any future findings.


Figure 1 - Trempealeau County



Methodology

Suitability Analysis

The first section of this project intends to study the distribution of geology units, land use, distance to the rail depots, slope and water elevation to result in an index showing the best locations to establish a sand mine. These criteria are related to the interests of the owner and do not take in consideration the risk related to the sand mining activity. This analysis will be done later on in the second section.

Digitizing the “Bedrock Geology of Wisconsin, West-Central Sheet” map was necessary to have the precise locations where Wonewoc Formation and Trempealeau Group were found (Figure 2). These geology units are the more appropriate to extract frac sand, and therefore, represent high suitability (Rank 3 – Figure 3), while any other unit would have low suitability (Rank 1 – Figure 3). Topology and data integrity were guaranteed by establishing domains for the new feature class and by using the cut tool during the digitizing session – as well as validating new rules (Must Not Overlap and Must Not Have Gaps) and fixing any errors found.

Figure 2 - Digitizing Process for Geology Units


Considering the land use found on the National Land Cover Database 2006, the best locations are the ones where it would be easier for the owner to establish a sand mine, like a Pasture and Cultivated Crops (Rank 3 – Figure 3); where it wouldn’t be necessary to remove any sort of vegetation like Grassland, Scrub or Barren (Rank 2 – Figure 3) or dense types of vegetation as forest (Rank 1 – Figure 3). Open space was also considered for the index because is the only developed area with no presence of dense population. However, other areas with low, medium or high density were extremely not appropriate for sand mining, and therefore were erased from the model.


Figure 3 - Rank Intervals for Suitability Criteria


Another important factor when choosing the appropriate area to establish a sand mining is the transportation cost. Because this resource is commonly transported by railroads, it’s better for the owner to be close to the railroad terminals. Wisconsin rail depots were available and were used to run Euclidean Distance in Trempealeau County – in this matter, it’s important to remember that the real-world distance for this case shouldn’t be Euclidean, but Manhattan distance. An approach with network analysis as observed in previous exercises could be useful. Euclidean distance will be used for simplicity purposes though. As it’s important to limit the results only to the area of interest, a mask based on the county boundary would result in a distorted result, since there are no depots inside it. To go around this problem, a polygon was drawn within the closest depots and used as a mask. Because the west extent of the county exceeds the west extent of the depots, the result didn’t cover the entire county (Figure 4). A fake depot was created far west from the county – to guarantee that it wouldn’t affect the distance found by the tool – and then deleted after acquiring the appropriate results (Figure 5). The definition of ranks was based on how far the values were from the mean (41km), the range of the first Standard Deviation (10 km) resulted  on the medium rank, while the other ranks were based in what was left from this interval, always thinking – the closer, the better.


Figure 4 - Problems faced with Euclidean Distance
Figure 5 - Problem-Solving with Hypothetical Feature


  


A really steep area is also not appropriate for sand mining, so the calculation of slope was necessary to find the appropriate areas. For that, the DEM obtained by USGS was used to run the slope tool. Because the result was too coarse, focal statistics were used to smooth the slope values. The identification of which interval of slope was hard to be found in the literature, so a different path was taken to determine that. The Extract Values to Points tool (Figure 7) was used to obtain the slope the existing mines are located in. By analyzing the statistics, the most appropriate areas would be in the interval of the first standard deviation (5.5% - 19.2%). Therefore, values lower than 19% obtained a high rank. The interval between the first standard deviation and the second standard deviation (19.2%-26%) resulted in the medium rank; while any percentage slope higher than that would have the lower rank (Figure 6).


Figure 6 - Slope Intervals for Ranking




For last, the sand mines need to have easy access to water because this resource is essential to separate the different sizes of sand grains. Therefore, water table elevation contours were obtained from the Wisconsin Geological Survey and then converted to a raster with the Topo to Raster tool. Then, the values were categorized in three ranks based on an equal interval classification – the closer to the surface, the higher the elevation, the better for the sand mine owner.


Figure 7 - Suitability Model



After all the criteria were categorized by the Reclassify tool, the Raster Calculator tool was used to obtain the index, ranging from 1 (lowest suitability) to 15 (highest suitability). The urban and wet lands needed to be removed, so after a binary reclassification (wet and urban areas are 0 and others are 1), this raster was multiplied by the previous, resulting in a more complete index for sand mining suitability.

Impact Index

As mentioned, the second section will then study the impact of sand mining that can have three dimensions: the soil fertility where it’s located, the noise and dust that can reach urban areas, schools, rivers and airports, as well as the visibility from traditional parks and trails located in Trempealeau County. All the features for this section – with exception of the elevation model – were obtained by the official Trempealeau County Geodatabase, available online.

It’s not appropriate that the sand dust reach rivers, once that would change the environmental dynamic by the accumulation of grains. In the same way, it should not be present in densely populated areas, as schools and urban. For last, the dust could compromise airplane pilot visibility essential to landing and takeoff. Considering the 640 meters range of the noise and dust shed, for all these features, the highest risk would be in distances smaller than 640 meters, the medium would be between that and its double – 1280 meters – and then, the lowest risk would be distances higher than 1280 meters (Figure 8).

However, when deciding which features to use to apply the euclidean distance, some elements should be considered. There are a few ways to determine where are the “densely populated areas”. Although the National Land Cover Database was already downloaded, it was made for a larger area and it might be, then, generalized. Because of that, the Zoning Districts feature class obtained specifically from the county geodatabase was used. Also, for the streams, if the entire feature class was considered, no areas in the county would have low risk. Hence, it’s important to find which types would be more important, and for that, the ones with Primary Flow in Water Perennial were selected and exported as a new feature class, and this one was in fact used for the Euclidean distance. 

Figure 8 - Rank Intervals for Risk Criteria


Trempealeau County also has important statewide trails and parks, and it wouldn’t be a good think that their viewpoints would actually show a sand mine instead of a nice view. That would compromise the tourism in the area, and therefore its economy. Therefore, the application of the Viewshed Tool on the trails and parks – based on the USGS elevation – would result in two distinct classifications over the entire county: areas visible from the trails and parks, and areas not visible by them.

For last, a polygon feature class containing different types of land allowed to find where the most fertile areas were. In other words, areas where the sand mines shouldn’t be located at. The highest impact is in prime farmland or farmland considered of statewide importance. Some areas were prime land if some conditions were met, for instance, being drained and/or not flooded during growing season. Because they are only prime farmlands if those criteria are met, their risk level was considered medium. For last, areas that were not prime farmland had a low risk rank. For last, the ranked raster were added to each other using the Raster Calculator, resulting in a raster index model, ranging from 1 - lowest impact - to 21 - highest impact (Figure 9).


Figure 9 - Risk Model



Results


By the examination of the Figure 10, there are limited areas that are completely not suitable due the land use – located mainly in the south – close to the main river – as well in some areas close to the streams. Mainly, the predominance of yellow colors in the map reveals an interval between 8 and 12 in the index, which can be considered reasonable, considering the extension of these values over the county. However, there is no doubt that the northern area has more advantages when establishing a sand mine, where there are more locations with the top level – 15.

Unfortunately, the suitability model does not match that much with the risk model (Figure 11). In other words, there are limited areas with high suitability and low risk at the same time. For the impact model, the county is almost completely taken by the reddish colors referred to risk levels between 16 and 21 (the maximum). A few areas in the north are covered by greenish colors, representing low risk; which fortunately can be overlapped by the same areas of medium to high suitability in the previous model.


Figure 10 - Suitability Map



Figure 11 - Risk Analysis Map



Discussion

It’s interesting to notice the contradiction between suitability and risk. The suitability brings the interest of the companies that will establish their mines, in making it more profitable and economically encouraging. It would be easier to decrease the social and environmental risk not only for sand mining, but many industries establishments if the variables for suitability locations matched to the low-risk areas. However, as seen in the results, this is not trivial – in many cases, a low risk area is not suitable or has low suitability for the activity being proposed. Companies tend to be more driven by the economic outcomes rather than the impact they will cause in the society and environment – unless regulations require them to, being constantly enforced. The result is society and environment being frequently impacted and a high demand for the government to solve these issues – while it could have been prevented from the beginning, at the establishment of the organizations.

Regarding the data and the process, it’s important to recall that the criteria is hypothetical and should not be applied directly to a real-world specific situation – such as establishing an actual sand mine in Trempealeau County. In these cases, a detailed study should be made, going more deep on the criteria and rank intervals. The procedures in GIS, however, would remain the similar and they are the most important goal of this exercise.

This project included a number of challenges related to the use of raster. Compared to vector, this model tends to have much larger files, due to the cell size: the higher the resolution, the larger the file and the harder to use it on hardware with low performance. The same is true for vector: the higher the resolution (number of nodes in a feature), the more computer demand you’ll have. However, this problem is higher when dealing with raster. One example is the use of the viewshed tool (Figure 12): for each pixel, the tool has to take the elevation of all the pixels in between to determine the visibility. The result is a very time-demanding tool. While the tool naturally takes a long time to run, the amount of 3 hours and 26 minutes is not common, and occurred due to some issue with the server.

Figure 12 - Viewshed Tool


Some strategies to improve analysis efficiency can be applied, though. The resolution being used needs to fit the purposes of the project: although high resolutions are commonly desired, in this case they might not be the best option. If only a high resolution raster is available, resampling techniques can be used to increase the pixel size. Another strategy is to put the “Extract by Mask” tool always before all the others, in order to avoid analysis in unnecessary pixels and make sure the analysis is being made only in your area of interest.

Conclusion

Despite the challenges faced, the project was successful in using all the necessary tools to come to a complete result. The need of rethinking different techniques to go around the problems found was essential to acquire problem-solving skills and actually learn how to deal with GIS independently, especially with the use of the Arc GIS Help Desktop.

Regarding the findings, the spatial analysis offers an alternative to find areas with both high suitability and low risk. It was mentioned how hard it’s for these two variables be found together, but it’s even harder – if even possible – to find these cases without the spatial analysis. A deeper analysis of each criterion can find special areas where both variables are found, which can be used by the government to encourage sand mines to be established in that area, supporting planning initiatives.
  
Data Sources and References
MRLC. National Land Cover Database, 2006. Available on <http://www.mrlc.gov/nlcd06_leg.php> Access on April 21st.

TREMPEALEAU COUNTY. Trempealeau County Geodatabase. Available on <http://www.tremplocounty.com/landrecords/lrd_Data_Dictionary.htm> Access on April 21st.

USGS. The National Map Viewer. Available on <http://nationalmap.gov/viewer.html> Access on April 21st.

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